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CODING AGENT SWARM · MULTI-AGENT BREAK-EVEN

Coding Agent Swarm Multi-Agent Break-Even

A typical coding agent swarm working across a large codebase runs ~50 steps across 6 agents (tune below). Here's whether the split has paid for itself yet.

For engineers deciding whether to split a task across specialized sub-agents — computes the exact step-count break-even against the shared-context duplication tax splitting actually costs, not a 'more agents is more efficient' assumption.

Model prices from OpenRouter · updated 2026-07-13

01 Shared context tax vs quadratic accumulation

02 One agent vs 6, at this step count

Splitting wins by $4.02/task (68%).

1 agent
$5.93
quadratic re-reads: $4.90
6 agents
$1.91
shared-context tax: $0.18

Break-even: 9.5 steps

At 20,000 tasks/mo: $118,600 (1 agent) vs $38,267 (6 agents)

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Why does splitting cost anything extra?Each sub-agent is its own context window — it can't see what the others already know, so the shared task brief has to be sent again in every sub-agent's prompt. That duplication is the tax; the quadratic re-read savings are the payoff. Which one dominates depends only on step count.
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Inference prices from OpenRouter, snapshot 2026-07-13, synced daily. No separate hand-verified data source — this is an architecture comparison (shared-context duplication vs quadratic accumulation), not a pricing lookup. All math runs in your browser.

How the math works

Splitting a coding agent swarm working across a large codebase across 6 sub-agents looks like a free efficiency win — each agent does less work, so it should cost less. It isn't automatic: every sub-agent is its own context window, so the 15,000-token shared task brief has to be re-sent to each one — $0.18 in duplicated context, a tax that scales linearly with agent count.

What splitting buys back: a single agent handling all 50 steps re-reads every prior step's output before each new one — cumulative input that grows quadratically, $4.90 here. Divide the same steps across 6 agents and each one only accumulates over its own share — the quadratic cost drops to $0.73.

Same baseline, one identity: single-agent cost (shared context once + quadratic accumulation + output) = $5.93/task. Multi-agent cost (shared context × 6 + reduced quadratic + the same output cost) = $1.91/task. Splitting wins by $4.02/task (68%) at this step count.

The number that matters isn't "how many agents" — it's the break-even: 9.5 steps. This is a pure function of shared-context size, step-token size, and agent count — it doesn't depend on price or volume, so it holds even if the model changes. Below it, one agent handling everything is cheaper; above it, the quadratic savings from splitting overtake the duplication tax.

Not modeled: the orchestrator's own cost to read and merge sub-agent outputs (a real coordinating-agent call this page ignores) — so the true step count needed for splitting to win is likely a bit higher than shown here. Inference prices sync daily from OpenRouter (updated 2026-07-13); this comparison is architecture, not pricing — all math runs client-side with tested code.

Frequently asked questions

Should a coding agent swarm working across a large codebase be split across multiple agents?

At this page's defaults — 50 steps, 6 agents, 15,000-token shared context — yes: splitting saves $4.02/task (68%). Tune the sliders for your real workload.

How many steps until splitting into multiple agents pays off?

9.5 steps — the point where a single agent's quadratic context-accumulation cost equals the multi-agent shared-context duplication tax. This break-even is set only by shared-context size, step size, and agent count; it doesn't move with token prices or task volume.

Why does splitting into agents cost anything extra at all?

Because each sub-agent is a separate context window — it can't see what the other sub-agents already know, so the shared task brief or reference docs have to be sent again in every sub-agent's prompt. At 6 agents that's the 15,000-token brief repeated 6 times: $0.18 total, versus reading it once ($0.03) in a single continuous conversation.

Why does a single agent get expensive as the task grows?

Because it has to re-read everything it generated so far before every new step — a conversation history that grows with each step, so the total re-read cost grows quadratically, not linearly. At 50 steps that's $4.90 just in re-reads, on top of the actual output.

Does this include the cost of coordinating the sub-agents?

No — this page compares only the shared-context duplication tax against the quadratic-accumulation savings. A real orchestrator that merges sub-agent outputs adds its own (usually smaller) cost, which would push the true break-even step count slightly higher than shown here.

Are these prices current?

Inference prices sync daily from OpenRouter (updated 2026-07-13). This mold uses no separate hand-verified data source — it's a pure architecture comparison (context duplication vs quadratic accumulation), not a pricing lookup, so it stays accurate as prices change automatically.